BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
-----------------------------------------------
Michigan St
Class: 1 Class Rank: 20 Overall: (22-8) Overall Strength = 61.81
Conference: Big 10 Record: (11-8) | District: 1-01 Record: (13-8)
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 11-04-2025 Home W 98.32 125 39 ZZ 29 (15-15) Mercyhurst 32.72 * 53.28
2 11-09-2025 Home W 60.73 92 60 1 194 (13-16) Eastern Michigan -4.87 * 36.87
3 11-12-2025 Home W 77.15 96 52 1 141 (24- 8) Youngstown St 11.55 * 32.45
4 11-16-2025 Home W 76.34 98 44 1 264 ( 9-20) Western Michigan 10.74 * 43.26
5 11-20-2025 Home W 64.07 101 53 1 314 ( 4-27) E Illinois -1.54 * 49.54
6 11-23-2025 Home W 84.07 102 41 1 257 (10-21) Oakland 18.47 * 42.53
7 11-28-2025 Neutral W 72.52 85 50 1 128 (14-16) Temple 6.92 * 28.08
8 11-30-2025 Neutral W * 60.91 72 64 1 40 (21-11) Clemson -4.69 12.69
9 12-07-2025 Away L * * 33.91 64 78 1 75 (13-17) Wisconsin -31.70 17.70
10 12-14-2025 Away W 79.42 90 46 1 177 ( 8-24) DePaul 13.82 * 30.18
11 12-21-2025 Neutral W 68.95 115 66 1 309 ( 9-21) Indiana St 3.35 * 45.65
12 12-22-2025 Neutral W * 79.11 66 49 1 19 (23-11) Mississippi 13.51 3.49
13 12-28-2025 Home W * * 39.25 70 64 1 146 ( 9-20) Rutgers -26.36 * 32.36
14 01-01-2026 Away W * * 72.96 80 60 1 47 (18-14) Indiana 7.35 12.65
15 01-04-2026 Home W * * 62.19 81 75 1 28 (21-11) Illinois -3.41 9.41
16 01-08-2026 Away W * * 77.15 82 67 1 22 (21-10) Washington 11.55 3.45
17 01-11-2026 Away W * * 66.49 85 81 1 27 (22-12) Oregon 0.89 3.11
18 01-15-2026 Home W * * 59.86 73 71 1 30 (18-12) Nebraska -5.75 7.75
19 01-18-2026 Away L * * 61.76 68 75 1 14 (26- 6) Iowa -3.84 -3.16
20 01-22-2026 Home W * * 64.58 74 68 1 24 (17-13) Southern Cal -1.03 7.03
21 01-29-2026 Away W * * 69.74 86 65 1 59 (13-17) Purdue 4.14 16.86
22 02-01-2026 Home L * * 67.26 91 94 1 1 6 (25- 6) Michigan 1.66 -4.66
23 02-04-2026 Home L * * 46.93 70 86 1 15 (23- 8) Maryland -18.67 2.67
24 02-07-2026 Away W * * 57.10 81 70 1 85 (11-18) Penn St -8.50 19.50
25 02-11-2026 Home L * * 56.55 63 86 1 2 (31- 1) UCLA -9.05 -13.95
26 02-15-2026 Away L * * 54.56 65 86 1 6 (25- 6) Michigan -11.05 -9.95
27 02-18-2026 Home W * * 72.91 104 68 1 111 ( 8-21) Northwestern 7.31 * 28.69
28 02-22-2026 Away W * * 82.27 75 61 1 11 (22- 8) Minnesota 16.67 -2.67
29 03-01-2026 Home L * * 44.20 68 87 1 9 (26- 7) Ohio St -21.41 2.41
30 03-05-2026 Neutral L * * 56.84 69 71 1 28 (21-11) Illinois -8.77 6.77
Averages 65.60 83.0 65.9
Best game: 98.32 = 86 point win over Mercyhurst
Worst game: 33.91 = 14 point loss to Wisconsin
Team stdev: 13.90